Archive for May 2009

Cell-Phone-Only Voters in the 2008 Exit Poll

The American Association for Public Opinion Research held its annual conference a few weeks ago in Hollywood, FL. Unfortunately, I could not attend, but several of the presentations from the conference and interviews are posted on the web.
One of the presentations focused on the cell-phone-only voters from data collected in the 2008 exit poll. Michael [...] Read more

POS In The News, 6/9/09

Deseret News discussed the results of a poll for Robert Wood Johnson Foundation and Trust for America’s Health, which most notably found that Americans are looking to focus on preventative healthcare rather than just “sick care.”
“We gave Americans a list of proposals being considered to reform health care, and investing in prevention trumped them all,” [...] Read more

Democrats take a hard left, but are they moving the country to the right?

My partner Glen’s OCD is well-placed when it comes to Independent voters; where they end up will decide the 2010 elections.  But, their swollen ranks have not just come by way of GOP defections.  Thanks to the total, complete, consolidated, and dominating power of President Obama and Congressional allies in Congress, they are now coming [...] Read more

POS In The News, 6/5/09

First Republic posted a Roll Call article about Rep. John Murtha’s chances of being relected , mentioning that POS will be polling for his probable challenger, Tim Burns.
WOAI News Radio in San Antonio, TX reported the results of a recent survey about how Texans feel about the state of the economy.
Texans remain optimistic about the [...] Read more

Independents Offer Opportunity, Challenge

Faithful readers know that I am obsessed with Independents and swing voters.  I have been ever since I worked at the NRCC and we lost an “unloseable” (is that a word?) special election in Indiana’s old 4th CD — a seat that had been held by Dan Coats and Dan Quayle.  
Evidence that history repeats itself [...] Read more

POS In The News, 5/29/09

National Journal Online quotes Bill McInturff about polling for primary elections in an article about the Republican primary for the Virginia Governor’s race.
Polling in primary elections may be perilous, but it doesn’t have to be impossible. The campaign pollsters who conduct these surveys and live to tell about it constantly remind their clients of their [...] Read more

California Demographic Breakdown: Are Republicans Really Fading, or is President Obama and the Democratic Brand Just More Popular Right Now?

(The article was co-authored by Matthew Jason.)
This is the second in a series of blog entries regarding specific voter demographics in California based on a merge of all the statewide interviews conducted by the California Office of Public Opinion Strategies going back to the beginning on 2004. This merge includes a total of over 31,000 [...] Read more

POS In The News, 5/22/09

On National Journal Online, Charlie Cook referenced Glen Bolger’s recent post about how Democrats are drawing attention to Speaker Nancy Pelosi’s trouble with the interrogation issue.
Republicans seem to be delighted with how much Democrats, and Pelosi, are keeping the issue in the headlines. Glen Bolger and Jim Hobart from the Republican polling firm of Public [...] Read more

Poll shows strong national support for “red-light cameras”

May 19, 2009, Alexandria, VA – In a recent national survey of voters, Public Opinion Strategies found that fully 69% of Americans support the use of “red-light cameras” at the most dangerous intersections in their states, while just 29% oppose them. Read more

Those voters “strongly” supporting red-light cameras outnumber those who strongly oppose them by a wide 45%-18% margin. Read more

Going up, or coming down?

This article was co-authored by Bill McInturff and Alex Bratty
Is the looming threat to our economy rising inflation, or falling prices, known as deflation? That’s the current debate raging among economists as this month brought some more staggering statistics.
The Consumer Price Index (CPI) dropped 0.1% in March and was flat in April. However, the annual [...] Read more