Public Opinion Strategies

With much speculation about Hispanics and the 2012 election, we thought it worth taking a look.  Anecdotally you hear whispers (some louder than others) about President Obama’s erosion in the Hispanic community, that Hispanics are turning against him headed into 2012.  But is it true?
In 2008, Obama received 66% of the Hispanic vote, an impressive [...] Read more

In a meeting this past Sunday, the partners of the firm were discussing some of the key trends we are seeing that are shaping this election.  With 35 days left to go, we thought it would be helpful to share our thoughts about what we are hearing and learning from around the country with GOP [...] Read more

With the health care legislation signed by the President yesterday, did Democrats seal their fate in Western states?
Prior to the signing, there were already signs of serious trouble for Democrats in Western states. Some key numbers from our March mid-March NBC/Wall Street Journal survey (March 11, 13-14):
Fifty-four percent (54%) of voters in the West disapprove [...] Read more

By Bill McInturff and Nicole McCleskey, Partners, Public Opinion Strategies
Comparing where we were during the first six months of 2009 to today offers a unique perspective on just how far the Obama Administration has fallen.  During the first six months of 2009, President Obama held a 56% approve/35% disapprove rating.  In contrast, Obama’s job approval [...] Read more

By Bill McInturff and Nicole McCleskey
In short order, seniors have changed their tune on several key political dimensions over the course of the last year.  As a critical political indicator, President Obama’s job approval has shifted from 54% approve/37% disapprove in the first six months of 2009 to 41% approve/57% today.
Seniors have taken a clear [...] Read more

By Nicole McCleskey
The December NBC/Wall Street Journal survey confirmed a year-long trend of voters moving away from President Obama and The Democratic Party, setting the stage for what promises to be an exciting election year out West.
Retirements this week prompted me to once again look at the data out West. While the trends nationally are [...] Read more

By Bill McInturff and Nicole McCleskey
If some Democrats have lost sleep over the last week, it is with good reason.  Republicans are knocking on their doors, loud enough to cause some nightmares heading into 2010.
Voters waved good-bye to President Bush in January, and he is increasingly fading in the rear view mirror.  Democrats still like [...] Read more

By Jay McCleskey, Partner, Lincoln Strategy Group
Nicole McCleskey, Partner, Public Opinion Strategies
 
The Albuquerque Journal labeled the RJ Berry win in the mayoral race “a move to the right.” That is a true statement. But it’s not just because a Republican mayor was elected for the first time in over 20 years. It’s where that movement [...] Read more

The story shaping up for the 2009 elections might be Republican vote intensity. 
 
We witnessed this Republican enthusiasm last week in the Albuquerque mayor’s race.  It is one thing to say polling indicates we could have a high Republican turnout election.  It is quite another to see it work first-hand.  In Albuquerque, Republicans were just [...] Read more

October 6 – R.J. Berry claimed victory in the race for Albuquerque mayor, defeating three-term incumbent mayor Martin Chavez and former State Senate President and congressional candidate Richard Romero. . Berry won with a decisive margin over his two opponents, earning 44% of the vote in the three-way race to avoid a run-off. Public Opinion [...] Read more