Consequences of the Debt Ceiling Negotiations

The Iranian hostage crisis, Iraq’s invasion of Kuwait, 9/11, Hurricane Katrina, Lehman Brother’s collapse and the recessions that defined the 1980, 1992 and the 2008 presidential campaigns … these are the signal events that changed and then defined the last 30 years of American politics.
They are joined now by another signal event:  The debt ceiling [...] Read more

How Long Will President Obama’s Job Approval Bump Last?

Not including the post-9/11 response, the average presidential approval rating bumps up 13% for an average of 22 weeks. Read more

February 2011: Overview of the 2012 Election Cycle

Bill McInturff has released a very interesting overview of the 2012 elections.  The analysis focuses on the seven key factors impacting the Presidential election, the impact of the Tea Party, and the 2012 House and Senate elections.
Overview of the 2012 Election Cycle in PDF format Read more

Nearly half (45%) of voters say their vote was a message to oppose President Obama’s health care reform plan.

This article was co-authored by Bill McInturff and Liz Harrington.
Public Opinion Strategies conducted a national telephone survey of 1,000 actual voters on election night. Read more

Health care reform was very much a key part of the debate this election with nearly seven in ten voters (69%) saying they have seen, read, or heard a Congressional candidate advertising [...] Read more

The Impact of the Obama Health Plan on the 2010 Elections

The word “Obamacare” has entered the American political lexicon as almost nine out of ten voters (89%) can rate the term on a positive/negative scale. Voters have little difficulty answering an open-ended question about their reaction to the term Obamacare.
Voters have a negative reaction to the term Obamacare (29% positive, 47% negative, with 13% having [...] Read more

What A Difference An Election Cycle Makes

By Bill McInturff and Alex Bratty
As the 2010 election season heats up our latest NBC/WSJ poll* is hot off the press this week with some illuminating data about where things are headed this November. We’ve been signaling for a while now that the landscape favors Republicans this year, and this poll indicates that things are [...] Read more

Bill McInturff’s latest presentation on health care

Bill McInturff’s latest presentation on health care highlights the seven reasons there was no spike for President Obama after passage, looks at public opinion right now on health care, and the likely impact of the health care issue on the November election. Click here for the presentation. Read more

Independent Voter Heartburn: Health Care Reform

By Bill McInturff and Nicole McCleskey, Partners, Public Opinion Strategies
Comparing where we were during the first six months of 2009 to today offers a unique perspective on just how far the Obama Administration has fallen.  During the first six months of 2009, President Obama held a 56% approve/35% disapprove rating.  In contrast, Obama’s job approval [...] Read more

SENIORS ON HEALTH CARE REFORM

By Bill McInturff and Nicole McCleskey
In short order, seniors have changed their tune on several key political dimensions over the course of the last year.  As a critical political indicator, President Obama’s job approval has shifted from 54% approve/37% disapprove in the first six months of 2009 to 41% approve/57% today.
Seniors have taken a clear [...] Read more

The Vote In The House Fails to Build Support for Health Care Reform

By Bill McInturff and Elizabeth Harrington
In one of the first national surveys completed after the House vote on health care reform…things do not look good for President Obama and Democrats in Congress: Read more

Opposition to President Obama’s health care plan is higher after the House vote than our previous tracks (29% favor/40% oppose). Voters’ net opposition [...] Read more