Public Opinion Strategies

A new national survey conducted by Public Opinion Strategies for Crossroads GPS finds that President Obama’s Jobs Bill is polarizing.  Voters are evenly split on whether or not they support it, they overwhelmingly tell Congress to look at it more in-depth rather than pass it now, and they are evenly split on whether raising taxes [...] Read more

Sorry sports fans, this blog post is not about a new NCAA football conference (although it could be).  Instead, it’s about the nine states that George W. Bush won in 2004 but flipped over to Barack Obama in 2008.  The states: Colorado, Florida, Indiana, Iowa, Nevada, New Mexico, North Carolina, Ohio, and Virginia.  These are the purplest [...] Read more

For quite some time, Republican pollsters have been making the point to their clients: don’t confuse the attitudes of base and swing voters toward the President.  Base GOP voters do not like Obama’s policies, and  they dislike him personally (some more vehemently than others).  However, we had consistently seen in our polls and focus groups that [...] Read more

The following two tables always stun Republicans when I do a presentation: Read more

The point is — John McCain got the same percentage of the white vote while losing in 2008 that George W. Bush got in winning the electoral college in 2000 (note to Dems reading this — what has two thumbs and doesn’t care about [...] Read more

A lot of pundits have been overreaching on their analysis of the extraordinarily dramatic data that has shown significant voter anger at Washington.  There have been predictions that incumbents are “unsafe at any speed” and that voters are going to wipe out both Republicans (who after all control the House, where legislation passes before Harry [...] Read more

This post was written by Glen Bolger and Jim Hobart
 Last week, following the killing of Osama Bin Laden, we looked at the average job approval bump for Presidents following major military and/or national security events. Not including the post 9/11 response, the average Presidential approval bump was 13% for an average of 22 weeks. Eleven [...] Read more

This post was co-written by Glen Bolger and Jim Hobart
Our friends at Democracy Corps recently released some initial findings of a survey they did in fifty Republican held battleground districts. Their initial memo, which can be found here begins:
A new survey by Democracy Corps in 50 of the most competitive battleground Congressional districts – nearly [...] Read more

The mythology that has arisen around the December 1995 government “shutdown” (if the government does not really shutdown, is it really a shutdown?) suggests that it as a crushing political and policy defeat for the Republican party.  In Sunday’s Washington Post, Newt Gingrich (Speaker of the House at the time) makes a compelling case that [...] Read more

Back before the TQIA blog, I used to send out memos once a month with strategic analyses and key data.  The recent rapid rise in gas prices caused Jim Hobart to dig up my June 2008 memo on the politics of gas and energy.  While voters are not yet as focused on the issue as [...] Read more

POS conducted  a national survey of 1,000 likely voters for Crossroads GPS on the tax cut extension being debated in Congress. Please find links to the interview schedule and analysis memo below.
Interview Schedule in PDF format
Analysis Memo in PDF format Read more