Public Opinion Strategies

NPR – Congressional Battleground Poll conducted October 7-10, 2010 Read more

The latest POS/GQR poll conducted on behalf of NPR examines the 96 closest House races.
Interview Schedule in PDF Format
NPR Battleground Survey in PDF Format Read more

Back in June, the survey that Stan Greenberg and I conducted for NPR was huge news. Conducted in 60 Democrat-held and 10 Republican-held seats, it showed Republicans ahead by a 48%-39% count in the Tier 1 seats (30 most vulnerable) and up 47%-45% in the Tier 2 seats (next 30 seats).  It was the first [...] Read more

Elsewheres on this blog, you’ve seen the posts regarding the NPR poll in 70 battleground districts which shows very good news for the Republican effort to take back the House in 2010.  The political environment in those key seats is excellent for Republicans, the enthusiasm gap is significantly in the GOP’s favor, and the basic [...] Read more

Given two points of view about the President’s economic policies, voters in the key 60 Democratic districts overwhelmingly say that those policies are not working.
The survey was conducted for National Public Radio by Greenberg Quinlan Rosner Research (GQR) and Public Opinion Strategies in 70 swing districts – 30 Tier One Democratic-held districts, 30 Tier Two [...] Read more

In the NPR survey done by GQR and POS (click here for methodology), the GOP advantage in the key 60 Dem districts is significant on the generic ballot. But, the advantage is even greater when campaign interest is factored in.
Looking just at those who rate their interest in the election as a “10″ (very high), [...] Read more

NPR – Congressional Battleground Poll conducted June 7-10, 2010 Read more

The poll was done in 70 key districts — 60 held by Dems, and 10 by GOPers.  The data underscores the troubles facing Democrats, highlights GOP message opportunities.
Interview Schedule in PDF Format
2010 Congressional Battleground Definitions – NPR/GQR/POS Poll Read more

By now, nearly everyone knows the national political environment is problematic for Democrats this election cycle. However, an in-depth survey of key swing congressional districts underscores that the opportunities Republicans have to make significant gains in November are even more widespread than conventional wisdom holds.
The survey was conducted for National Public Radio by Greenberg Quinlan [...] Read more

Going back a few weeks to the NPR poll, there was some interesting findings that I did not get to (apologies, but there was a death in the family). 
One of the last posts I wrote was on the GOP’s new lead on the generic ballot.  Just as important is the interest advantage among Republicans — [...] Read more

For the first time since June 2003, the Republican candidate has a five point lead on the generic ballot in a new survey conducted for NPR by Public Opinion Strategies and Greenberg, Quinlan, Rosner and Associates.  The Republican candidate has a 44%-39% advantage.
(The analysis of the data in this article  does not necessarily reflect the [...] Read more

Marriage.  Marriage is what brings us together today.  Most of the analyses looking at politics today focus on either the gender gap, or the generation gap, or the huge differences between base partisans.  However, one of the more enduring and important gaps is the marriage/single gap.
The 2008 exit polls showed the gap.  The 66% of [...] Read more