The Wall Street Journal quoted Bill McInturff in an article about the Florida primary results. The Washington Post quoted…
Posts Tagged ‘Demographics’
An Analysis of Wave Off-Year Exit Polls — Comparing 1994, 2006, and 2010
This post was written by Glen Bolger and Dave Wilson.
Over the past five mid-terms, there have been more wave elections (1994, 2006, 2010) than elections with limited swing (1998, 2002). We thought it would be enlightening to look at the national House exit polls from those three wave elections for similarities and differences.
The 2010 national [...] Read more
An In-Depth Look At Key Congressional Races — NPR Survey
Back in June, the survey that Stan Greenberg and I conducted for NPR was huge news. Conducted in 60 Democrat-held and 10 Republican-held seats, it showed Republicans ahead by a 48%-39% count in the Tier 1 seats (30 most vulnerable) and up 47%-45% in the Tier 2 seats (next 30 seats). It was the first [...] Read more
Politics at 30,000 Feet
The fabled GOP political advisor Lee Atwater helped the senior George Bush win the presidency in 1988 by admonishing him to spend more time connecting with voters in bowling alleys. The political equivalent for GOP candidates in this era may be the frequent flyer club at their airport.
First, here’s a reality check for those of [...] Read more